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Will Kobe Paras Make It to the NBA? His Journey and Future Prospects


I remember watching Kobe Paras during that memorable September 18 game at the Smart Araneta Coliseum, tip-off at 6 p.m., when he dropped 20 points against a tough Korean team. The atmosphere was electric—you could feel the collective hope of Filipino basketball fans in that arena. As someone who's followed basketball careers across continents for over a decade, I've developed a pretty good sense of which players have that special something that could translate to the NBA level. And let me tell you, watching Paras that Thursday evening, I saw flashes of brilliance that made me believe, even if just for moments, that we might be witnessing an NBA-caliber talent in the making.

The journey from Philippine basketball to the NBA has always been an incredibly difficult path, with only a handful of players ever making that transition successfully. Paras stands at 6-foot-6, which gives him decent size for a wing player, but in today's NBA where athleticism seems to increase exponentially each season, he'll need more than just height. His stint at Creighton University showed promise—he averaged 12.4 points per game in his sophomore year—but the competition level in the NCAA is miles apart from the NBA. What really stands out in my analysis is his international experience; having played professionally in Japan's B.League and now in the Philippine Basketball Association, he's faced diverse playing styles that could help his adaptability. I particularly like his fearlessness when driving to the basket—that's something you can't teach, and it reminds me of how Jordan Clarkson attacks the rim.

Looking at his current development trajectory, I'm cautiously optimistic but realistic about his NBA chances. The truth is, only about 1.2% of college basketball players make it to the NBA, and the percentage is even lower for international players without NCAA Division I experience. Paras will need to significantly improve his three-point shooting consistency—he's currently shooting around 32% from beyond the arc in the PBA, while NBA teams expect wings to shoot at least 38% from three. His defensive awareness has improved dramatically over the past two seasons though, and I've noticed he's become much better at reading passing lanes. What worries me slightly is his ball-handling under pressure; against quicker NBA defenders, he might struggle to create his own shot consistently.

The pathway I see working best for him would be through the G League, where he could showcase his skills against NBA-level competition while being just one step away from the big league. At 25 years old, he's entering what should be his athletic prime, giving him a 2-3 year window to make that jump. I'd love to see him get a summer league invitation next year—that would be the perfect platform to prove himself. The reality is harsh though; NBA teams are increasingly looking for specialized role players, and Paras would need to demonstrate he can excel in a specific niche rather than being just an all-around talent. His athleticism and highlight-reel dunks might get him noticed, but staying in the league requires more substance than style.

Having watched hundreds of players attempt this transition, I believe Paras has about a 15% chance of making an NBA roster within the next two years. That might sound low, but in the context of professional basketball odds, it's actually quite respectable. His international fanbase could work in his favor too—NBA teams are always looking to expand their global reach. Ultimately, whether he makes it or not, his journey represents the aspirations of an entire nation, and sometimes that narrative can be as powerful as the stats alone. I'll be watching his development closely, hoping to see another Filipino player realize the NBA dream that so many have pursued before him.